by Justin Cherot
With football right around the corner, everybody and their stepmother (hey, it’s the new millennium and I have to adjust to the times) is talking NFL. But college football is coming soon, too. Fear not, college football fans. Daddy has you covered.
As expected on this website, we don’t do previews in the usual fashion. Colin likes bands and artists to compliment his previews. Me on the other hand?
I like prop bets.
Dealing in prop bets fits my style perfectly. For one, they’re abstract and far from concrete. Where’s the fun, and logic, of picking a national champion on August 10th? Too much time, too many variables to consider. Especially when you’re posting from your phone on vacation from a beach.
So, let’s prop it up.
WILL THIS SEASON’S HEISMAN TROPHY WINNER BE A FIRST-TIMER?
Obviously, this is Sam Bradford and Tim Tebow vs. the field. You can take this question a step further and wonder whether last season’s three finalists would be any different.
If gambling were legal and I were a betting man, I would put significant money on the Heisman winner being a first-time recipient. In August it seems really hard to say that considering the seasons Bradford and Tebow had last year, but they have more than history going against them (only one player, Archie Griffin, has won the award twice). Although Bradford still has Jermaine Gresham and firepower in backfield, he lost two of his top three receivers. If you’re expecting him to throw for a million TDs again this year in a tough Big 12, you’re delusional. With Tebow, not only does he lose Percy Harvin, but his team has this gigantic target on its back as the nation’s pre-season No. 1. Playing in the nation’s toughest conference doesn’t help either.
So, who do we turn to? Colt “Not Only Should I Have Won Last Year But I Should Have Played For A National Title” McCoy should emerge as a logical choice after completing 177.6% of his passes last year (hyperbole, that’s not even possible). Jahvid Best will probably garner some consideration, too. If Oklahoma State blows up and is in contention during the last month of the season, Dez Bryant and Zac Robinson will be up there.
By the way, if somebody is willing to bet you that a defensive player wins this award, gobble that turkey up. It just never happens.
THE BIG TEN WILL HAVE MORE TEAMS RANKED IN THE TOP 25 THAN THE MOUNTAIN WEST BY SEASON’S END.
The fact that you should even consider taking this bet tells you how far the Big Ten has fallen. However, this is definitely one where you would still take the Big Ten.
Out of Utah, TCU, BYU, and Air Force, I figure at least two, but not all four, will be ranked at season’s end. Barring something earth-shattering, we know Ohio State and Penn State will be top 25. Michigan State will more than likely also have something to tide Spartan fans over until October when the basketball team returns to the court. Juice Williams is dynamic enough for Illinois to be solid. For some reason, Wisconsin is always good, and I expect Iowa to be solid.
Not saying that the six best teams in the Big Ten are better than the Mountain West’s best four, but with more exposure and more chances at marquee victories, I think taking the Big Ten is the smart thing to do.
ASSUMING THAT AN ACC TEAM DOESN’T GET AN AT-LARGE BCS BID OR PLAYS IN THE TITLE GAME, THEY WILL LOSE BY AT LEAST TWO TOUCHDOWNS IN THE ORANGE BOWL.
Everybody is so down on the ACC, saying it’s a basketball first conference and that football is just something to keep the fans from getting bored in the fall.
The ACC may not be Pamela Anderson (top-heavy), but from top to bottom the conference is pretty solid. Obviously, Florida State and Virginia Tech are going to be strong, but North Carolina, NC State, Georgia Tech, and Wake Forest will be dangerous, too. I’ll even go out on the limb and make an obvious/homerish sleeper pick: the Maryland Terrapins are going to be a problem for teams in-conference.
In short, take the ACC… if not to win the game, to lose by less than two touchdowns.
THE BCS TITLE GAME WILL FEATURE A BIG 12 TEAM AND AN SEC TEAM.
Again, it’s August, so making a prediction on this right now is tough, but the way things look, before any kickoff or any meaningful snap, I’d say go with that bet. The number of teams that can shake up such a match-up are for sure outnumbered by the staggering number of contenders from the two aforementioned conferences.
Of course, while that would be the smart bet to go with, I have the USC Trojans pegged as this year’s national champions.
THE BCS WILL NOT “GET IT RIGHT”.
It depends on who you ask. Or, how about this: a prop bet based on the coach whose team will get screwed in the BCS. Will they take the high road or will they gripe?
I’ll take the gripe any day.